Monte Carlo Fashions IPO-Should we invest?
Punjab based Monte Carlo Fashions IPO would hit the market on 3rd December, 2014. Monte Carlo made 10.7% profits in the last financial year (FY 2013-14). Revenues jumped by 38% in last 2 financial years. There are several positive factors in Monte Carlo Fashions IPO. Can we invest in a Monte Carlo IPO? What are the negative points to be considered before investing in Monte Carlo Fashions Limited IPO?
About Monte Carlo Fashions Limited
Monte Carlo Launched in 1984 as an exclusive woollen brand by Oswal Woollen Mills. In 2011, Monte Carlo got demerged as a separate entity.
Monte Carlo Fashions have 190 exclusive outlets, of which 80 are company owned. As part of our growth strategy, the company has a target of establishing 275 'Monte Carlo exclusive brand outlets' by the end of fiscal 2017. The company operates two manufacturing facilities in Ludhiana at Punjab, one of woolen apparel products and one for cotton apparel products.
Monte Carlo Executive Director Sandeep Jain says “We are planning to penetrate further in the western and southern regions of India”.
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Issue details of Monte Carlo Fashions IPO
- IPO opens: 3-December-2014
- IPO closes: 5-December-2014
- Face Value: Rs 10 per share
- Price Band: Rs 630 – Rs 645 per share
- Minimum shares to be applied: 23 shares and in multiples of 23 shares thereof
- Minimum investment: Rs 14,490
- No of shares issued for the Public: 54.33 L Shares
- Issue size: Rs 350 Crores approx.
- Lead Managers: SBI Capital Markets Limited
- Listing: BSE and NSE
- Download Monte Carlo Fashions IPO Prospectus from SEBI website here
Purpose of the IPO
- The objects of the Offer are to achieve the benefits of listing the Equity Shares on the Stock Exchanges.
- Sale of Equity Shares by the Selling Shareholders.
- Company expects that the listing of the Equity Shares will enhance visibility and brand image among existing and potential customers and provide liquidity to the existing shareholders.
- Company will not receive any proceeds of the Offer and all the proceeds will go to the Selling Shareholders
Company Financials
- Company generated revenue of Rs 375.38 Crores for the year ended Mar-12 and Rs 518.89 Crores for the year ended Mar-14. It earned revenue of Rs 79.23 Crores for 3 months ended Jun-14.
- Company posted a profit of Rs 49.45 Crores for the year ended Mar-12 and a profit of Rs 55.3 Crores for the year ended Mar-2014. It earned a profit of Rs 8.51 Crores for 3 months ended Jun-2014.
- EPS for FY2014 is Rs 25.45
- Weighted Average EPS for the past 3 years is Rs 24.95
Reasons to invest Monte Carlo Fashions IPO
- Good revenue growth of 38% in last 2 years.
- Consistent profits in last 3 years. It earned 10.7% profits in FY 2013-14.
- Good brand image makes it unique among the competitors.
Reasons not to invest in a Monte Carlo Fashions IPO
- Business is subject to seasonality, with a significant portion of revenue generated primarily during the third quarter of each fiscal year. Lower revenues generated during the third quarter of a particular fiscal year may result in a material adverse effect on the operations and business of the Company. Revenues in this year for 3 months ended Jun-14 show less and are only Rs 79.2 Crores. However since third quarter revenues would be high, this may not be right comparison.
- If they are unable to maintain and enhance the ‘Monte Carlo’ brand, the sales will suffer which would have a material adverse effect on results of operations.
- Cost of production is exposed to fluctuations in the prices of woollen yarn and cotton fabric as well as its unavailability.
- It operates in a highly competitive environment and may not be able to maintain market position, which may adversely impact business, results of operations and financial condition.
- It relies on certain Group Companies, including Oswal and Nahar Spinning Mills Limited, for procurement of raw materials and outsourcing the manufacture of certain of our apparel, and any potential conflicts of interest pursuant to such related party transactions could have a material adverse effect on the business, financial condition and results of operations.
- It has limited experience operating as an independent company (demerged in 2011 only) at the current scale of operations and if it is unable to manage its operations at current size or to manage any future growth effectively, brand image and financial performance may suffer.
- Its operations and revenue is currently, primarily concentrated in the northern and north-eastern regions of India and the inability to retain and grow business in other regions of India may have an adverse effect on its business and prospect.
- There is outstanding litigation involving company, the Promoters, the Directors and the Group Companies, which, if determined adversely, may affect their business and operations and reputation of the company.
- It has negative cash flows in previous financial years. This indicates that it need to borrow loans for high rate of interest and has difficulty in managing working capital requirements. This would affect the profits of the company.
- Some of its Group Companies have incurred losses in previous financial years. This indicates poor promoter performance in some businesses.
- Complete risk factors can be read from “Risk Factors” section of the IPO prospectus from page no. 11 onwards.
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Recommendation / Investment strategy
- On an issue price of Rs 645 per share (upper band), based on EPS of Rs 25 (approx for both FY 2013-14 or for the last 3 years average) P/E ratio works out to be 25.8. Its competitors P/E Ratio is 50.78 (Highest-Zodiac Clothing Company Limited) and 31.63 (Lowest-Kewal Kiran Clothing Limited) and the industry composite is 41.21. The issue price of Rs 645 per share in upper band looks reasonably priced.
- Monte Carlo Fashions IPO has several positive factors. Good revenue growth, consistent profits and good brand image are some of the positive factors. Seasonal business, limited operating history (3 years) as an independent entity and other risk factors indicated above are negative points. Considering these factors, I would personally like to invest in this IPO.
Readers, what is your view on the Monte Carlo IPO? Are you subscribing for this IPO?
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Suresh
Monte Carlo Fashions IPO
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Hi Suresh,
Please Suggest to the allotes of Monte Carlo, As one Should hold there lots or book the Loss after sale.
Thanks
Saurabh Joshi
Saurabh, as indicated, you can hold for 2-3 years and expect good returns. However there is risk element as it is stock.
HI Suresh,
Have got 23 shares and listing at discount rate so should i book loss or wait ? Till what price this share will be go?
Thanks
Akhilesh
Listing on the first day is terrible.
Wait and watch Rajiv
Dear Mr.Suresh
I didn’t got any allotment but in listing day also I have confused because of discount prices so tell me your view after listing price
Because in ipo subscription is nearly 8 times also all investers got share at Rs.645
So why they are selling at loss ?
Hi Suresh,
I got allotments of 317 shares out of 506 i applied for. But now it seems the IPO will be listing at a discount to allotment price. grey market premiums are trading in kostaks at Rs -5… i.e. a discount.
Did you get allotment?
If allotment price does not hold, should i avoid selling off and wait for it to crawl back to original price or just book my losses and exit?
Good to hear from you. I have not received any allotment even this time 🙁
hi suresh,
Its good that you had not alloted this time, but i got allotment and burned my fingers.
Poor listing. Hope it will be recovered next time
Hi suresh,
Got allotment of 1 lot (23 shares)
Whats your opinion whether one has to sell on listing day or should invest in for long term.
Thanks
Saurabh joshi
No shares allotted to me. 🙂 Anyway no worries 🙂
Don’t worry, even I have not received anything. Shares are tumbled by 9% on day-1. We should wait for a few more trading sessions before we buy them from stock market now.
I guessed, it will happen. It was the first time, I was praying not to get allotment. LoL!
Hello , suresh sir
I have got 23 shares . What can i do at listing Day ??
Hold ya sold ???
When will they do allotment and listing on NSE,BSE?
Guru, Expected next week
Thanks suresh 🙂
Thanks for your analysis.Please keep up the good work.
Waitin for your reply on my query.
Thanks
Akhilesh
Hi,
I am planning to apply for rs 2 lakh+ of shares to get into HNI catageory – i have heard that the chances of allotment are better there over retail segment. Is this truly the case? in case of heavy oversubscription, will i get atleast 2lakhs worth of shares or just 1 lot of 23 shares? confused on this point…
Also, company is part of Nahar group of companies… which is a horrible horrible group and has been a wealth destroyer…
Any comments, Suresh bhai?
Dear Mr Suresh
What lot size u would recommend in this game of chance . any tips???
Hi Suresh,
Thanks for your valuable observation & recommdation on every upcoming IPO
Can you please tell i can purchase for listing gain and for how many lot i have to apply to get 1 or 2 lot also profit.
Thanks
Akihlesh
Very difficult to say. For some IPO’s, listing gains could be very small of 10% to 30%, but for some they gave 80% returns.
Hi Suresh,
I am new to IPOs. Have just started investing in market & would like to know your view to have better chances for my Bid of this IPO. Do I need to quote at 645 or I can successfully bid at lower band as well??
Thanks a lot
Generally when there is a craze, it would be subscribed at upper brand. Hence you should subscribe at that rate
Applied for 4 Lots at upper band and received 1 Lot today while rest of the amount refunded. Thanks for your advice 🙂
Also would like to know your views on having multiple trading account on my name. Can I apply to same IPO from different trading accounts?? Thanks Again for your wonderful advice
Good to hear this. However I have seen price has fallen down by 9% on day-1, don’t worry. You may hold for 1-3 years. Regd second question, allotmetn is done based on PAN number. Even if you have multiple trading account, you would get only one allotment.
As Minimum investment is 14,490, I will give a try. However, my guess is that the price will go down on listing date and following week.
Thanks for your analysis.
thanks for the detailed analysis.
Thanks Mr.Suresh this time may be I will join lucky group by allotment
Hi suresh,
I was waiting for your blog on this IPO, As per my observation the Premium is bit too high for monte-carlo (in compare to the other peer companies of same Domain). Request you to Provide your Precious Comment on same.
Thanks
Saurabh Joshi
As indicated in my conclustion, share price is reasonably priced compared to competitors and industry composite.
Will you subscribe at this Premium, please comment.
as indicated in the article, I wanted to subscribe this and I subscribed on 2nd day.
I would avoid now and add later if it declines.